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中国贸易顺差再创新高
来源: | 作者:pro0ff3b6 | 发布时间: 2015-07-21 | 11310 次浏览 | 分享到:

  China’s trade surplus expanded again in the second quarter, providing the economy with a crucial boost ahead of Wednesday’s release of growth data. According to figures published by the General Administration of Customs on Monday, China’s trade surplus was Rmb850bn ($136.7bn) in the second quarter, up from Rmb760bn in the first three months of 2015.

  继星期三中国政府发布经济增长数据之后,有一组数据表明中国第二季度的贸易顺差又实现了增长。据星期一中国海关总署发布的数字显示,今年第二季度中国的贸易顺差达到了8500亿人民币(1367亿美元),较今年的前三个月增长900亿人民币。

  The overall first-half trade surplus, of Rmb1.6tn, was some 150 per cent higher than the same period a year ago. Surging net exports have provided an important cushion for the Chinese government, which may struggle to reach its gross domestic product growth target of 7 per cent this year. According to a Bloomberg survey of economists, second-quarter GDP is expected to come in at 6.8 per cent, down from the first quarter’s 7 per cent figure.

  今年上半年的贸易顺差是1.6万亿人民币,环比增涨了1.5倍。净出口的激增为中国政府提供了一个重要的缓冲,因为中国政府正在为能否在今年实现7%的GDP增长发愁。据彭博资讯的经济人士称,中国第二季度的GDP将下降到6.8%,比第一季度下降0.2%。

  China’s annual growth rate has slowed to its lowest level in a quarter century as government officials say the economy enters a “new normal” less dependent on debt-fuelled infrastructure and real estate investment.

  今年中国的经济增长达到了近25年来的最低点,中国政府称中国经济进入了一个“新的正常的”时代,不再严重依赖债务刺激基础设施建设和房地产投资。

  Without the large increase in first-quarter net exports, which made up for plummeting investment figures, China’s economy would have expanded less than 6 per cent over the first three months of the year. China’s ballooning trade surplus, however, reflects the collapse in commodity prices over the past year rather than a robust export sector.

  第一季度没有实现净出口的大幅度增长使得投资数字大幅度下跌,那么今年中国政府要想实现6%的增长都将会很有难度。但是中国膨胀的贸易顺差反映出中国商品价格的下调而非出口的欣欣向荣。

  Exports rose in June for the first time in four months, increasing 2.1 per cent over the same month last year.

  四个月以来,出口贸易首次在六月实现了增长,环比增长2。1%。

  China’s overall foreign trade fell 6.9 per cent in the first half to Rmb11.5tn. Of this, exports were down 0.9 per cent compared with a 15.5 per cent decline in imports. The latter figure represents steep falls in the prices of many commodities, which have been driven down in part by slower economic growth in China.

  中国总的对外贸易额在上半年下降了6.9%达到11.5万亿。而在这期间,进口贸易额下降了15.5%,而出口贸易额则下降0.9%。进口贸易额的下降意味着中国国内很多商品价格的下降,这也与中国经济放缓有着一定的关系。

  “China’s trade performance this year . . . appears to have entered a ‘new normal’, falling sharply on sluggish external demand a strong renminbi,” Li-Gang Liu, China chief economist for ANZ, wrote in a research note on Monday.

  “今年中国的贸易表现……似乎进入了一个‘新的、正常的’的时期,即依靠比较缓慢的外部需求实现经济增长,这就要求人民币必须坚挺。”澳新银行大中华区经济研究总监刘利刚在星期一发表的一份研究笔记中说道。

  Government officials were already concerned about slower growth before a crisis erupted on the country’s stock markets last week. A three-week, 30 per cent fall in the Shanghai Composite Index, which had hit a seven-year high on June 12, was the catalyst for China’s market regulator and central bank to unleash a barrage of “unconventional measures” to stabilise the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges.

  在上周中国国内股市发生危机之前,中国政府就已经注意到经济的缓慢增长了。近三周来,上证指数跌了30%,在6月2号达到最低点,其下降幅度为七年最高。这也促使中国证监会和央行一齐采用非传统措施来稳定上海股市和深圳股市。

  The Shanghai Composite Index rose 2.3 per cent on Monday morning, extending a recovery that began on July 9.

  上指在星期一早上上升了2.3%,自6月9日连续下降之后终于有所复苏。

  Beijing is also worried about the potential impact from the Greek debt crisis in the EU, as the bloc is China’s largest trading partner. “The Greek debt issue is having an impact on China’s foreign trade but it’s hard to predict how big it will be,” said Chinese customs on Monday.

  但是北京还是担心欧盟的希腊债务危机会对中国股市造成潜在影响。中国海关于本周星期一表示,“希腊问题对中国的对外贸易有影响,但是很难预计这影响会有多大。”

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